Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 66.527019 75.256727 84.191984 93.988472 104.395252 115.090576 126.883516
2025-10-26 52.760515 65.223084 78.572962 93.800383 110.559985 128.327652 148.475441
2025-11-02 44.852061 59.366456 75.450196 94.313874 115.574257 138.567069 165.095388
2025-11-09 38.034150 53.801248 71.842355 93.540572 118.505694 145.962379 178.094400
2025-11-16 33.053365 49.768572 69.463940 93.680208 122.034937 153.655275 191.087552
2025-11-23 28.345113 45.559674 66.458798 92.716210 123.976781 159.289247 201.531747
2025-11-30 25.420173 43.285586 65.540714 94.007941 128.358375 167.558736 214.835803
2025-12-07 23.012834 41.439954 64.961435 95.547225 132.901255 175.913349 228.155838
2025-12-14 19.873504 38.303383 62.518219 94.604155 134.321858 180.508944 237.040254
2025-12-21 16.776698 34.913892 59.511671 92.759402 134.489774 183.503298 243.954959
2025-12-28 15.965296 34.766556 60.735213 96.227977 141.115630 194.121807 259.765694
2026-01-04 14.692326 33.798776 60.767090 98.102918 145.731585 202.316480 272.713415
2026-01-11 12.694579 31.536451 58.929577 97.503834 147.267653 206.850001 281.407296
2026-01-18 10.926245 29.448199 57.206764 96.959748 148.805310 211.342475 290.027851
2026-01-25 9.664805 28.063297 56.389220 97.544445 151.711577 217.452241 300.542050
2026-02-01 8.185333 26.105596 54.614834 96.745638 152.784342 221.274573 308.281180
2026-02-08 7.092616 24.709335 53.582341 96.889811 155.017197 226.483353 317.659524
2026-02-15 5.880797 22.893264 51.796833 95.907013 155.726333 229.766643 324.679542
2026-02-22 5.256081 22.184558 51.679677 97.223536 159.413042 236.726935 336.146341
2026-03-01 4.736069 21.625176 51.758978 98.792094 163.415669 244.073825 348.083157
2026-03-08 3.843888 20.053802 50.113838 97.831110 164.027430 247.149644 354.791278
2026-03-15 2.938280 18.211526 47.895956 95.951083 163.347940 248.553891 359.415156
2026-03-22 2.871025 18.555342 49.373584 99.485731 169.938473 259.141256 375.322882